Two to go: The championship situation

Two to go: The championship situation

25 October 2010 – After a quite remarkable turn of events on Sunday, Fernando Alonso could now win his third Formula 1 drivers’ title in Brazil. As for the other four contenders, Abu Dhabi is the only place in which they can only spoil the Spaniard’s party. GPUpdate.net takes a look at the 2010 championship permutations with just two races to go.

Red Bull could have won their first Constructors’ Championship at the weekend; instead, thanks to fluctuations typical of this amazing season, both cars retired from first and second places. Although taking team honours is still a more than realistic aim, though, the Drivers’ Championship situation has now become distinctly tricky.

Yeongam was also highly significant in that Jenson Button’s disastrous race means that, as he has admitted himself, he is highly likely to lose his crown. That said, anything can happen at Interlagos, as the details below confirm:

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fernando Alonso (championship leader, 231 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Alonso is the only man who could win the title with one race to spare.

To do that, he must finish on the podium in Brazil, with the following situations taking place:

- Winning the race with Webber 5th or lower
- Finishing 2nd with Webber 8th or lower
- Finishing 3rd with Webber 10th or lower 

This confirms that Webber is the only man who can stop Alonso in Brazil. If the Spaniard does finish on the rostrum, no result from any other contender would prevent the Ferrari driver from winning the title.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mark Webber (2nd overall, 220 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Webber will remain in the fight providing Alonso finishes off the podium in Brazil, although the Australian will be out of the championship if one of the following situations become a reality:

- Alonso wins and Webber finishes 5th or lower
- Alonso finishes 2nd and Webber finishes 8th or lower
- Alonso finishes 3rd and Webber finishes 10th or lower

So, if Alonso is 4th then we know Webber is safe, no matter where he is. However, if Alonso is in the top three, Webber knows where he needs to be.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Lewis Hamilton (3rd overall, 210 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Like Webber, Hamilton could remain in the running without even scoring in Brazil, although the 2008 Champion will be unable to clinch a second crown in 2010 under the following circumstances:

- Alonso wins the race
- Alonso finishes 2nd and Hamilton finishes 4th or lower
- Alonso finishes 3rd and Hamilton finishes 5th or lower
- Webber wins the race and Hamilton finishes 5th or lower
- Webber finishes 2nd and Hamilton finishes 9th or lower

For Hamilton, he knows he is powerless if Alonso wins. Under any other circumstances, Lewis can prevent Alonso and Webber from becoming untouchable.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sebastian Vettel (4th overall, 206 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vettel currently lies 25 points in arrears of Alonso, meaning he must finish at least 10th and therefore score one point at Interlagos to stay in the game. However, it will all be over if this happens in Brazil:

- Alonso wins the race
- Alonso finishes 2nd-10th and Vettel does not finish ahead
- Webber wins the race and Vettel finishes 4th or lower
- Webber finishes 2nd and Vettel finishes 7th or lower
- Webber finishes 3rd and Vettel finishes 8th or lower
- Webber finishes 4th and Vettel finishes 10th or lower
- Hamilton wins the race and Vettel finishes 8th or lower

Basically, Vettel must finish ahead of Alonso (providing Fernando scores) but if the Ferrari driver wins then Sebastian can’t do anything to stop him. Even if the Spaniard fails to score, Sebastian knows that a top ten result is vital to stay in touch. Webber and Hamilton are also threats, especially if Mark wins.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jenson Button (5th overall, 189 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The reigning Champion has the hardest job of any of the five title contenders, as he must finish at least at least 2nd no matter what happens in Brazil. However, if the following things do happen, Button becomes mathematically helpless:

- Alonso finishes 6th or higher
- Alonso finishes 7th-10th and Button does not win
- Webber wins 
- Webber finishes 2nd-4th and Button does not win

Not only does Jenson need to finish at least second, but he needs other things to happen to Fernando Alonso. Even if the Spaniard fails to score and Jenson wins, the Frome driver still needs Mark Webber to finish fifth or lower. The best the McLaren man can do now is to aim for the win and pray for carnage behind…or, more realistically, help Hamilton.

related

Comments

Latest News
Full
Compact

  1. Tuesday 22 August 2017

  2. Video: European F3 Zandvoort highlights 14:12

    Video: European F3 Zandvoort highlights

    Watch highlights of last weekend's trio of European Formula 3 races at Circuit Zandvoort.

    F3
  3. 11:32

    Overview: 2018 Formula 1 grid so far

    F1
  4. Ferrari keeps Räikkönen for 2018 season 11:29

    Ferrari keeps Räikkönen for 2018 season

    Ferrari has announced that Kimi Räikkönen will continue to race with the team in Formula 1 next season, ending speculation…

    F1
  5. F1 teams load up on Super Softs for Italy 10:09

    F1 teams load up on Super Softs for Italy

    Formula 1 teams have loaded up on the softest available tyre for the Italian Grand Prix, which directly follows this weekend's…

    F1
  6. Video: Super Formula Motegi highlights 10:03

    Video: Super Formula Motegi highlights

    Watch as Pierre Gasly takes his maiden Super Formula victory during the series' Motegi round.

    SF
  7. Renault to update engine at Spa, Monza 09:04

    Renault to update engine at Spa, Monza

    Renault will bring software and hardware updates to the Belgian and Italian Grands Prix, as it pushes to close the gap to rival…

    F1
  8. Kubica 'delivered well' in 2017-spec F1 test 08:12

    Kubica 'delivered well' in 2017-spec F1 test

    Robert Kubica "delivered well" on his official Formula 1 test return at the Hungaroring earlier this month, according to Renault…

    F1
  9. Belgian GP preview: F1 gets Spa treatment 07:02

    Belgian GP preview: F1 gets Spa treatment

    After a month-long break to recharge batteries, F1 will burst back into life with the Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps…

    F1
  10. Video: Rosberg vlogs with a Hamilton hat 05:38

    Video: Rosberg vlogs with a Hamilton hat

    Nico Rosberg films his first official 'vlog' as he heads to Stuttgart for the Mercedes-Benz Museum fan event. But why does a…

    F1
  11. Monday 21 August 2017

  12. 17:02

    Follow us on Instagram for the best photos!

    F1
  13. Video: F1 2017 video game at Zandvoort 16:32

    Video: F1 2017 video game at Zandvoort

    Until 1985, Circuit Zandvoort hosted the Dutch Grand Prix. To celebrate the upcoming video game release of F1 2017, Koch Media…

    F1
  14. Harvey to enter final two rounds with SPM 13:53

    Harvey to enter final two rounds with SPM

    Schmidt Peterson Motorsports has confirmed its driver plans for the remainder of the season, handing Jack Harvey the final two…

    Indy
  15. 13:21

    Overview: Belgian Grand Prix F1 schedule

    F1
  16. Force India still hoping for podium finish 13:00

    Force India still hoping for podium finish

    Force India still harbours hopes of a podium finish during the 2017 season and is "ready to take" any opportunity, says team…

    F1
  17. Haas to start with Brembo brakes at Spa 11:59

    Haas to start with Brembo brakes at Spa

    Haas team boss Guenther Steiner has confirmed that both Romain Grosjean and Kevin Magnussen will start the Belgian Grand Prix…

    F1
  18. Abraham gets new Aspar deal for 2018 10:34

    Abraham gets new Aspar deal for 2018

    Karel Abraham will remain with Aspar through 2018, having performed "much better" than the team expected on his MotoGP…

    MotoGP
  19. Gasly revels in 'very special' SF triumph 10:32

    Gasly revels in 'very special' SF triumph

    Red Bull junior driver Pierre Gasly described his maiden victory in the Super Formula championship as "very special", after he…

    SF
  20. Video: IndyCar Pocono race day highlights 09:33

    Video: IndyCar Pocono race day highlights

    Watch highlights of the ABC Supply 500 at Pocono Raceway, also known as the Tricky Triangle.

    Indy
  21. Norris takes title lead after Zandvoort double 09:12

    Norris takes title lead after Zandvoort double

    McLaren-backed Lando Norris moved into the lead of the European Formula 3 Championship with a commanding performance at…

    F3
  22. Formula 1 launches eSports championship 09:01

    Formula 1 launches eSports championship

    Formula 1 has announced the launch of its first official eSports series. Starting in September 2017, fans and gamers from…

    F1
  23. Video: Mercedes-Benz's W125 from 1937 05:42

    Video: Mercedes-Benz's W125 from 1937

    Take a look at the dominant Mercedes-Benz W125, which was the car to beat in the 1937 Grand Prix season.

    F1
  24. Sunday 20 August 2017

  25. 22:49

    Latest IndyCar photos: Sunday at Pocono

    Indy
  26. Power wins Pocono with strategy, persistence 22:47

    Power wins Pocono with strategy, persistence

    Will Power delivered a precise and tactical final two stints in an eventful race at Pocono on Sunday to hold off Josef Newgarden…

    Indy
  27. Hunter-Reay gets green light for Pocono 15:17

    Hunter-Reay gets green light for Pocono

    Ryan Hunter-Reay has been cleared to race at Pocono later on Sunday in the wake of his hefty accident during…

    Indy
  28. Verstappen doubts Red Bull win threat 14:17

    Verstappen doubts Red Bull win threat

    Max Verstappen feels it will still be "tough" for Red Bull to compete with Mercedes and Ferrari when Formula 1 returns from its…

    F1
  29. Wehrlein hopes for non-DTM alternative 12:22

    Wehrlein hopes for non-DTM alternative

    Pascal Wehrlein says the "second way" of reaching Formula 1 will no longer be possible for any Mercedes-backed youngsters…

    F1
  30. Video: Visor Cam at Pocono Raceway 11:34

    Video: Visor Cam at Pocono Raceway

    Ride along with Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing driver Graham Rahal during his qualifying run at Pocono.

    Indy
  31. Hunter-Reay in doubt for race after crash 10:02

    Hunter-Reay in doubt for race after crash

    Andretti Autosport's Ryan Hunter-Reay will need to be cleared to drive by IndyCar's medical team on Sunday, following a hefty…

    Indy
  32. In photos: Formula 1's iconic Spa moments 09:42

    In photos: Formula 1's iconic Spa moments

    Formula 1 returns from its summer break next weekend with the Belgian Grand Prix, which takes place at the legendary…

    F1
  33. Motegi gets new five-year MotoGP deal 08:47

    Motegi gets new five-year MotoGP deal

    Motegi will remain as the host of the Japanese Grand Prix until at least 2023 after signing a new five-year deal with MotoGP…

    MotoGP
  34. Nakagami graduates to MotoGP with LCR 08:35

    Nakagami graduates to MotoGP with LCR

    LCR Honda will become a two-bike team in 2018 after confirming that Takaaki Nakagami will graduate to MotoGP, partnering Cal…

    MotoGP
  35. Gasly takes maiden SF victory at Motegi 08:22

    Gasly takes maiden SF victory at Motegi

    Red Bull-backed Pierre Gasly captured his maiden Super Formula win at Motegi on Sunday. Gasly qualified in fourth position…

    SF
  36. Video: Williams Heritage Stories - FW14B 05:42

    Video: Williams Heritage Stories - FW14B

    Williams tells the story of the 1992 title-winning Williams-Renault FW14B, with input from champion Nigel Mansell, Riccardo…

    F1
  37. Saturday 19 August 2017

  38. 20:45

    Latest IndyCar photos: Saturday at Pocono

    Indy
  39. Video: Castroneves crashes during qualifying 20:42

    Video: Castroneves crashes during qualifying

    Penske's Hélio Castroneves escapes unharmed following a hard hit during IndyCar qualifying at Pocono Raceway.

    Indy
  40. Sato beats Pagenaud to pole at Pocono 20:36

    Sato beats Pagenaud to pole at Pocono

    Andretti Autosport's Takuma Sato ran last in an eventful Saturday qualifying order for the ABC Supply 500, edging out Penske…

    Indy
  41. Hamilton: Mercedes in 'good place' with tyres 16:33

    Hamilton: Mercedes in 'good place' with tyres

    Lewis Hamilton believes Mercedes is in a "good place" with its understanding of Pirelli's tyres, after problems during the early…

    F1
  42. Video: Top overtakes from FE's third season 12:42

    Video: Top overtakes from FE's third season

    Take a look at the 20 best overtakes from the 2016/17 Formula E championship, as chosen by series officials.

    FE
  43. Steiner: Minardi-style team could aid youth 10:08

    Steiner: Minardi-style team could aid youth

    Haas Team Principal Guenther Steiner believes Formula 1 would benefit from the existence of a Minardi-style outfit, in order to…

    F1
  44. Video: Day in the life of an F1 show car team 05:36

    Video: Day in the life of an F1 show car team

    Mercedes highlights what it takes to put on a spectacular F1 show at the world's best motorsport events.

    F1
more news