Two to go: The championship situation

Two to go: The championship situation

25 October 2010 – After a quite remarkable turn of events on Sunday, Fernando Alonso could now win his third Formula 1 drivers’ title in Brazil. As for the other four contenders, Abu Dhabi is the only place in which they can only spoil the Spaniard’s party. GPUpdate.net takes a look at the 2010 championship permutations with just two races to go.

Red Bull could have won their first Constructors’ Championship at the weekend; instead, thanks to fluctuations typical of this amazing season, both cars retired from first and second places. Although taking team honours is still a more than realistic aim, though, the Drivers’ Championship situation has now become distinctly tricky.

Yeongam was also highly significant in that Jenson Button’s disastrous race means that, as he has admitted himself, he is highly likely to lose his crown. That said, anything can happen at Interlagos, as the details below confirm:

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fernando Alonso (championship leader, 231 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Alonso is the only man who could win the title with one race to spare.

To do that, he must finish on the podium in Brazil, with the following situations taking place:

- Winning the race with Webber 5th or lower
- Finishing 2nd with Webber 8th or lower
- Finishing 3rd with Webber 10th or lower 

This confirms that Webber is the only man who can stop Alonso in Brazil. If the Spaniard does finish on the rostrum, no result from any other contender would prevent the Ferrari driver from winning the title.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mark Webber (2nd overall, 220 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Webber will remain in the fight providing Alonso finishes off the podium in Brazil, although the Australian will be out of the championship if one of the following situations become a reality:

- Alonso wins and Webber finishes 5th or lower
- Alonso finishes 2nd and Webber finishes 8th or lower
- Alonso finishes 3rd and Webber finishes 10th or lower

So, if Alonso is 4th then we know Webber is safe, no matter where he is. However, if Alonso is in the top three, Webber knows where he needs to be.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Lewis Hamilton (3rd overall, 210 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Like Webber, Hamilton could remain in the running without even scoring in Brazil, although the 2008 Champion will be unable to clinch a second crown in 2010 under the following circumstances:

- Alonso wins the race
- Alonso finishes 2nd and Hamilton finishes 4th or lower
- Alonso finishes 3rd and Hamilton finishes 5th or lower
- Webber wins the race and Hamilton finishes 5th or lower
- Webber finishes 2nd and Hamilton finishes 9th or lower

For Hamilton, he knows he is powerless if Alonso wins. Under any other circumstances, Lewis can prevent Alonso and Webber from becoming untouchable.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sebastian Vettel (4th overall, 206 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vettel currently lies 25 points in arrears of Alonso, meaning he must finish at least 10th and therefore score one point at Interlagos to stay in the game. However, it will all be over if this happens in Brazil:

- Alonso wins the race
- Alonso finishes 2nd-10th and Vettel does not finish ahead
- Webber wins the race and Vettel finishes 4th or lower
- Webber finishes 2nd and Vettel finishes 7th or lower
- Webber finishes 3rd and Vettel finishes 8th or lower
- Webber finishes 4th and Vettel finishes 10th or lower
- Hamilton wins the race and Vettel finishes 8th or lower

Basically, Vettel must finish ahead of Alonso (providing Fernando scores) but if the Ferrari driver wins then Sebastian can’t do anything to stop him. Even if the Spaniard fails to score, Sebastian knows that a top ten result is vital to stay in touch. Webber and Hamilton are also threats, especially if Mark wins.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jenson Button (5th overall, 189 points)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The reigning Champion has the hardest job of any of the five title contenders, as he must finish at least at least 2nd no matter what happens in Brazil. However, if the following things do happen, Button becomes mathematically helpless:

- Alonso finishes 6th or higher
- Alonso finishes 7th-10th and Button does not win
- Webber wins 
- Webber finishes 2nd-4th and Button does not win

Not only does Jenson need to finish at least second, but he needs other things to happen to Fernando Alonso. Even if the Spaniard fails to score and Jenson wins, the Frome driver still needs Mark Webber to finish fifth or lower. The best the McLaren man can do now is to aim for the win and pray for carnage behind…or, more realistically, help Hamilton.

related

Comments

Latest News
Full
Compact

  1. Monday 24 April 2017

  2. 17:02

    Follow GPUpdate on Instagram in 2017!

    F1
  3. Video: Alonso press conference at Barber 16:04

    Video: Alonso press conference at Barber

    Watch as Fernando Alonso fields questions about his upcoming attempt at the Indianapolis 500.

    F1
  4. In photos: Alonso visits IndyCar paddock 12:35

    In photos: Alonso visits IndyCar paddock

    Fernando Alonso attended last weekend's Grand Prix of Alabama as part of his preparations for an assault on the Indianapolis 500…

    F1
  5. Video: Performing a perfect FE pit-stop 12:02

    Video: Performing a perfect FE pit-stop

    Venturi driver Maro Engel talks through the key elements to pull off a perfect Formula E pit-stop.

    FE
  6. Viñales vows to return 'stronger' after crash 11:12

    Viñales vows to return 'stronger' after crash

    Maverick Viñales says he will quickly put his crash at the Grand Prix of the Americas to the back of his mind and return…

    MotoGP
  7. Venturi calls up Dillmann for Paris ePrix 10:20

    Venturi calls up Dillmann for Paris ePrix

    Tom Dillmann will make his Formula E debut with Venturi in next month's Paris ePrix. Dillmann, who won the Formula V8 3.5…

    FE
  8. Rossi's 2017 title lead 'a great surprise' 10:02

    Rossi's 2017 title lead 'a great surprise'

    Valentino Rossi says it comes as "a great surprise" to himself and Yamaha that he leads the MotoGP title race after the first…

    MotoGP
  9. Video: IndyCar GP of Alabama highlights 09:32

    Video: IndyCar GP of Alabama highlights

    Watch highlights of Sunday's IndyCar Grand Prix of Alabama at the Barber Motorsports Park.

    Indy
  10. Márquez 'back' in title race with Austin win 09:16

    Márquez 'back' in title race with Austin win

    Repsol Honda rider Marc Márquez says he is "back in the championship" fight after his victory at the Grand Prix of the Americas…

    MotoGP
  11. Video of the Day: Prema's 'Guess the song' 05:24

    Video of the Day: Prema's 'Guess the song'

    Prema Formula 2 drivers Charles Leclerc and Antonio Fuoco, along with Formula 4 pair Juri Vips and Juan Manuel Correa, challenge…

    F2
  12. 03:10

    MotoGP standings after GP of the Americas

    MotoGP
  13. Sunday 23 April 2017

  14. 22:50

    Latest IndyCar photos: Sunday at Barber

    Indy
  15. Newgarden wins after Power's puncture 22:48

    Newgarden wins after Power's puncture

    Josef Newgarden won for the first time as a Penske driver, holding off Scott Dixon at the Grand Prix of Alabama after race…

    Indy
  16. 21:10

    Latest MotoGP photos: Sunday at Austin

    MotoGP
  17. 21:07

    In full: GP of the Americas race results

    MotoGP
  18. Márquez takes fifth straight Austin victory 20:53

    Márquez takes fifth straight Austin victory

    Reigning World Champion Marc Márquez preserved his perfect record at the Circuit of the Americas as he claimed victory, while…

    MotoGP
  19. 19:00

    Starting grid for the GP of the Americas

    MotoGP
  20. Video: Super Formula Suzuka highlights 13:59

    Video: Super Formula Suzuka highlights

    Watch race highlights from Sunday's opening round of the 2017 Super Formula season at Suzuka.

    SF
  21. Nakajima wins race, Gasly top rookie 13:23

    Nakajima wins race, Gasly top rookie

    Former Formula 1 driver Kazuki Nakajima triumphed at the opening Super Formula round of the season at Suzuka as Red Bull reserve…

    SF
  22. Lorenzo pleased to confirm 'good feeling' 13:06

    Lorenzo pleased to confirm 'good feeling'

    Jorge Lorenzo says he was lifted by confirming the "good feeling" he developed at the preceding round in Argentina, as he…

    MotoGP
  23. Video: GP of Alabama qualifying highlights 10:56

    Video: GP of Alabama qualifying highlights

    Watch highlights from Saturday's track action for the Grand Prix of Alabama at the Barber Motorsports Park.

    Indy
  24. Márquez 'didn't expect' Austin pole position 09:24

    Márquez 'didn't expect' Austin pole position

    Marc Márquez says he "didn't expect" to claim pole position for the Grand Prix of the Americas, having struggled across the…

    MotoGP
  25. Video of the Day: Verstappen photobombs fans 05:34

    Video of the Day: Verstappen photobombs fans

    Red Bull Formula 1 driver Max Verstappen surprises customers at a supermarket in his native Netherlands...

    F1
  26. Saturday 22 April 2017

  27. 23:16

    Latest IndyCar photos: Saturday at Barber

    Indy
  28. Power leads Penske trio in Barber qualifying 23:12

    Power leads Penske trio in Barber qualifying

    Will Power led a Penske/Chevy 1–2–3 in qualifying at Barber Motorsports Park on Saturday, earning the 46th pole of his…

    Indy
  29. 21:34

    Latest MotoGP photos: Saturday at Austin

    MotoGP
  30. Injured Rins to fly home for wrist surgery 21:33

    Injured Rins to fly home for wrist surgery

    Suzuki rider Álex Rins will undergo surgery in his native Spain, after fracturing his left wrist, with no time frame yet placed…

    MotoGP
  31. Márquez beats Viñales in qualifying thriller 21:00

    Márquez beats Viñales in qualifying thriller

    Reigning World Champion Marc Márquez maintained his unbeaten record at the Circuit of the Americas after prevailing in a…

    MotoGP
  32. Avintia continues with Ducati for 2018 20:14

    Avintia continues with Ducati for 2018

    Avintia has renewed its contract as a customer Ducati squad, with both of its riders set to use the Italian manufacturer's 2017…

    MotoGP
  33. Viñales heads crash-filled COTA FP3 17:14

    Viñales heads crash-filled COTA FP3

    Championship leader Maverick Viñales returned to the top of the leaderboard for Yamaha during a crash-strewn third practice…

    MotoGP
  34. Steiner: 'Big three' teams will remain clear 14:46

    Steiner: 'Big three' teams will remain clear

    Haas Team Principal Guenther Steiner says he expects the leading three teams – Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull – to remain…

    F1
  35. Video: Onboard with Hunter-Reay at Barber 12:24

    Video: Onboard with Hunter-Reay at Barber

    Ride onboard with Andretti driver Ryan Hunter-Reay ahead of this weekend's Grand Prix of Alabama at the Barber Motorsports Park

    Indy
  36. Ricciardo to conduct Budapest demo run 10:28

    Ricciardo to conduct Budapest demo run

    Daniel Ricciardo will demonstrate Red Bull Formula 1 machinery during an event in Hungary's capital, Budapest, next…

    F1
  37. Abraham fractures ankle in Bautista clash 08:28

    Abraham fractures ankle in Bautista clash

    Aspar rider Karel Abraham has sustained a fractured right ankle following a collision with team-mate Álvaro Bautista during…

    MotoGP
  38. Video of the Day: 2017 strategy so far... 05:36

    Video of the Day: 2017 strategy so far...

    3 races down, 17 to go. Using Mercedes' 'Pure Pit Wall', Chief Strategist James Vowles talks about tyre degradation, overtakes…

    F1
  39. Friday 21 April 2017

  40. 21:04

    Latest MotoGP photos: Friday at Austin

    MotoGP
  41. Márquez moves ahead in Austin FP2 21:01

    Márquez moves ahead in Austin FP2

    Reigning World Champion Marc Márquez vaulted to the top of the timesheets during the second practice session at the Circuit of…

    MotoGP
  42. Viñales comfortably quickest in FP1 17:04

    Viñales comfortably quickest in FP1

    MotoGP championship leader Maverick Viñales comfortably set the pace during Friday's first practice session for the Grand Prix…

    MotoGP
  43. Kvyat aims for complete home showing 15:32

    Kvyat aims for complete home showing

    Toro Rosso driver Daniil Kvyat has targeted a more complete performance at his home Grand Prix in Russia next weekend, after…

    F1
  44. Honda feels it is 'heading in right direction' 13:12

    Honda feels it is 'heading in right direction'

    McLaren engine partner Honda is confident that it is "heading in the right direction" following a positive conclusion to this…

    F1
more news